万方数据资源系统

中国公路学报
CHINA JOURNAL OF HIGHWAY AND TRANSPORT
2007 Vol.20 No.3 P.103-108

数字化期刊

基于影响因素可靠度的改进OD反推算法

邓亚娟  陈小鸿 

摘 要:通过4组测试方案,采用敏感性分析、数理统计分析方法分析了先验矩阵总量、分布结构以及观测OD对数量对OD反推结果的影响程度;提出了考虑先验矩阵和观测路段流量可靠度的改进极大熵算法.研究结果表明:先验矩阵总量基本不影响OD反推结果;先验矩阵分布结构决定着反推结果的准确性;OD反推要求观测路段包含所有OD对,且OD对数量越多,反推结果越准确,基本不会出现OD信息冗余;在反推过程中考虑先验矩阵和观测路段流量可靠度,有助于提高反推精度.
关键词:交通工程;OD反推算法;理论分析;先验矩阵;观测流量;贡献度;可靠度
分类号:U491.1 文献标识码:A

文章编号:1001-7372(2007)03-0103-06

Improved OD Estimation Algorithm Based on Influence Factors Reliability

DENG Ya-juan  CHEN Xiao-hong 

基金项目:上海市科学技术委员会科研计划项目(04dz05808)
作者简介:邓亚娟(1979-),女,陕西宝鸡人,工学博士研究生,E-mail:dengyajuan1223@163.com.
作者单位:邓亚娟(同济大学,道路与交通工程教育部重点实验室,上海,200092) 
     陈小鸿(同济大学,道路与交通工程教育部重点实验室,上海,200092) 

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收稿日期:2006年6月22日

出版日期:2007年5月31日