基金项目：国家自然科学基金项目(49976002)
作者简介：黄磊(1971-),男,山东青岛人,青岛远洋船员学院副教授,从事航海气象学、海洋学和交通运输安全保障研究.Huang Lei(1971-), male, associate professor, +86-532-85719162, huanglei711027@sohu. com.
作者单位：黄磊（青岛远洋船员学院,航海系,山东,青岛,266071）
张永宁（大连海事大学,航海学院,辽宁,大连,116026）
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