基金项目：国家自然科学基金项目(50375130,50323003);全国优秀博士学位论文作者专项基金项目(200234);铁道部科技研究开发计划项目(2001J016);西南交通大学博士研究生创新基金项目(080203)
作者简介：杨冰(1979-),男,湖南衡阳人,西南交通大学工学博士研究生,从事结构可靠性设计分析与PSA研究.
作者单位：杨冰（西南交通大学,牵引动力国家重点实验室,四川,成都,610031）
赵永翔（西南交通大学,牵引动力国家重点实验室,四川,成都,610031）
张卫华（西南交通大学,牵引动力国家重点实验室,四川,成都,610031）
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