基金项目：江苏交通科学研究计划项目(02Y017)
作者简介：余劲(1980-),男,江苏灌云人,河海大学博士研究生,从事水运经济管理研究.doctoral student, 86-25-83787991, yujinsjy@tom. com.
作者单位：余劲（河海大学,交通与海洋工程学院,江苏,南京,210098）
张玮（河海大学,交通与海洋工程学院,江苏,南京,210098）
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