基金项目：霍英东优选基金项目(94025);中国博士后科学基金项目(2003034407);新世纪人才支持计划项目(NCET-04-0946)
作者简介：王元庆(1968-),男,陕西吴旗人,长安大学副教授,博士,从事交通运输规划与管理研究.86-29-82334821,wyq21@vip. sina.com.
作者单位：王元庆（长安大学,特殊地区公路工程教育部重点实验室,陕西,西安,710064）
曾奕林（长安大学,特殊地区公路工程教育部重点实验室,陕西,西安,710064;上海市市政工程研究院,上海,200031）
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